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daily Jan 13, 2026 · Episode 22 2-3 · -0.9u

Spurs, Bulls & More

MORNING POSITIONS

Spurs vs. Thunder

TOP PICK NBA WIN

We are laying the points with the league-leading Thunder (33-7), who enter on a three-game win streak behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s historic 110-game 20-point scoring run. While the Spurs remain competitive at 27-12, the absence of Devin Vassell (thigh) thins their rotation against an Oklahoma City squad that ranks first in the NBA in defensive rating and boasts a league-best +13.0 scoring differential. Expect the Thunder's elite pressure to overwhelm a San Antonio team coming off a narrow one-point loss to Minnesota just 48 hours ago.

Bulls vs. Rockets

Our data points toward a defensive struggle driven by Houston’s elite efficiency, as the Rockets currently rank 3rd in scoring defense and play at the league's 28th slowest pace. Recent trends strongly favor the Under, which has hit in six straight Rockets games and eight of the Bulls' last ten, a narrative further supported by the absence of Chicago's primary playmaker Josh Giddey.

Canadiens vs. Capitals

We are projecting a high-scoring environment as Montreal enters the second leg of a back-to-back following yesterday's 6-3 win, fueled by an offense averaging 4.0 goals per game over their last 10. With these teams having combined for 12 goals in their previous matchup and Washington navigating key defensive absences like Tom Wilson and Jakob Chychrun, the statistical path to clear 5.5 is extremely favorable.

Hurricanes vs. Blues

Hurricanes Moneyline

The Hurricanes continue to dominate the flow of play, leading the NHL in fewest shots allowed (24.4 per game) and expected goal share. They face a St. Louis squad on a three-game losing streak that recently lost top defenseman Philip Broberg to injury, while Carolina’s own blue line was bolstered by the return of Jaccob Slavin. Despite being the second half of a back-to-back, the Hurricanes’ elite puck-possession metrics provide a decisive edge over a Blues defense currently ranking 30th in the league.

Stars vs. Ducks

Our support for the Ducks +1.5 rests on a prime situational spot as Dallas travels to Anaheim for the second half of a back-to-back following Monday's game in Los Angeles. While the Ducks are mired in a nine-game losing streak, the Stars have shown recent vulnerability against bottom-tier opponents—highlighted by a Jan. 10 loss to the Sharks—and their tendency to play tight contests (60% of their last 10 games going to OT or decided by one goal) makes the puck line a high-probability play for the home underdog.

EVENING UPDATE

Spurs vs. Thunder

TOP PICK NBA WIN

We are laying the points with the league-leading Thunder (33-7), who enter on a three-game win streak behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s historic 110-game 20-point scoring run. While the Spurs remain competitive at 27-12, the absence of Devin Vassell (thigh) thins their rotation against an Oklahoma City squad that ranks first in the NBA in defensive rating and boasts a league-best +13.0 scoring differential. Expect the Thunder's elite pressure to overwhelm a San Antonio team coming off a narrow one-point loss to Minnesota just 48 hours ago.

Bulls vs. Rockets

Our data points toward a defensive struggle driven by Houston’s elite efficiency, as the Rockets currently rank 3rd in scoring defense and play at the league's 28th slowest pace. Recent trends strongly favor the Under, which has hit in six straight Rockets games and eight of the Bulls' last ten, a narrative further supported by the absence of Chicago's primary playmaker Josh Giddey.

Canadiens vs. Capitals

We are projecting a high-scoring environment as Montreal enters the second leg of a back-to-back following yesterday's 6-3 win, fueled by an offense averaging 4.0 goals per game over their last 10. With these teams having combined for 12 goals in their previous matchup and Washington navigating key defensive absences like Tom Wilson and Jakob Chychrun, the statistical path to clear 5.5 is extremely favorable.

Hurricanes vs. Blues

Hurricanes Moneyline

The Hurricanes continue to dominate the flow of play, leading the NHL in fewest shots allowed (24.4 per game) and expected goal share. They face a St. Louis squad on a three-game losing streak that recently lost top defenseman Philip Broberg to injury, while Carolina’s own blue line was bolstered by the return of Jaccob Slavin. Despite being the second half of a back-to-back, the Hurricanes’ elite puck-possession metrics provide a decisive edge over a Blues defense currently ranking 30th in the league.

Stars vs. Ducks

Our support for the Ducks +1.5 rests on a prime situational spot as Dallas travels to Anaheim for the second half of a back-to-back following Monday's game in Los Angeles. While the Ducks are mired in a nine-game losing streak, the Stars have shown recent vulnerability against bottom-tier opponents—highlighted by a Jan. 10 loss to the Sharks—and their tendency to play tight contests (60% of their last 10 games going to OT or decided by one goal) makes the puck line a high-probability play for the home underdog.

LISTEN TO THIS EPISODE

We’re tracking heavy movement in the prediction markets as major injury reports shake up the boards for the Bucks and Timberwolves. Join us for a breakdown of eight high-conviction positions, including a 'Dog of the Day' play on the Canucks as they head into Ottawa.

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