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daily Jan 14, 2026 · Episode 24 3-2 · +0.0u

Raptors, Jazz & More

MORNING POSITIONS

Raptors vs. Pacers

TOP PICK NBA WIN

Pascal Siakam: Points Over 23.5

Siakam is the focal point of an Indiana offense missing star Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) and enters this contest on a high after hitting Monday’s game-winner against Boston. He faces a Toronto defense that is reeling after surrendering 80 first-half points to the 76ers and continues to rank 28th in opponent points in the paint. This matchup perfectly aligns with our data on Toronto’s 29th-ranked EPA against power forwards, allowing Siakam to leverage his elite 1.18 transition PPP to clear this total with ease.

Bulls Moneyline

Chicago’s league-leading pace (104.5) and transition-heavy offense—highlighted by a recent season-high 38 fastbreak points—are primed to exploit a Utah unit ranking 30th in Defensive Rating (119.8). With Tre Jones entering in elite form after a career-high 34-point performance and the Jazz struggling through a 5-13 road record, we expect the Bulls to dominate a defense allowing a league-high 126.9 points per game.

Knicks vs. Kings

Knicks Moneyline

We are projecting a dominant performance for New York as their league-best Offensive Rating (121.2) faces a Sacramento squad missing both Domantas Sabonis (knee) and Keegan Murray (ankle). With Josh Hart recently returning to the Knicks' rotation and the Kings' defense regressing to 27th in the league, New York's offensive firepower creates an overwhelming mismatch against an injury-depleted frontcourt.

Kraken vs. Devils

Devils Moneyline

We are backing New Jersey as they leverage their NHL-leading 56.4% 5v5 xGF% against a Seattle defense that ranks 26th in high-danger chances allowed and remains without top-pair defenseman Brandon Montour. The Devils carry significant momentum into this home matchup following a 5-2 victory over Minnesota, highlighted by multi-goal performances from Jesper Bratt and Ondrej Palat that snapped a recent skid.

Senators vs. Rangers

Rangers Moneyline

While advanced metrics like CF% favor Ottawa, the Senators are in a disadvantaged back-to-back spot with travel after a narrow win Tuesday and remain without starter Linus Ullmark. We are backing the Rangers at home as they look to snap a skid for Coach Mike Sullivan’s 500th win, banking on veteran Jonathan Quick to stabilize the crease despite the absences of Shesterkin and Fox.

EVENING UPDATE

Raptors vs. Pacers

TOP PICK NBA WIN

Pascal Siakam: Points Over 23.5

Siakam is the focal point of an Indiana offense missing star Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) and enters this contest on a high after hitting Monday’s game-winner against Boston. He faces a Toronto defense that is reeling after surrendering 80 first-half points to the 76ers and continues to rank 28th in opponent points in the paint. This matchup perfectly aligns with our data on Toronto’s 29th-ranked EPA against power forwards, allowing Siakam to leverage his elite 1.18 transition PPP to clear this total with ease.

Bulls Moneyline

Chicago’s league-leading pace (104.5) and transition-heavy offense—highlighted by a recent season-high 38 fastbreak points—are primed to exploit a Utah unit ranking 30th in Defensive Rating (119.8). With Tre Jones entering in elite form after a career-high 34-point performance and the Jazz struggling through a 5-13 road record, we expect the Bulls to dominate a defense allowing a league-high 126.9 points per game.

Knicks vs. Kings

Knicks Moneyline

We are projecting a dominant performance for New York as their league-best Offensive Rating (121.2) faces a Sacramento squad missing both Domantas Sabonis (knee) and Keegan Murray (ankle). With Josh Hart recently returning to the Knicks' rotation and the Kings' defense regressing to 27th in the league, New York's offensive firepower creates an overwhelming mismatch against an injury-depleted frontcourt.

Kraken vs. Devils

Devils Moneyline

We are backing New Jersey as they leverage their NHL-leading 56.4% 5v5 xGF% against a Seattle defense that ranks 26th in high-danger chances allowed and remains without top-pair defenseman Brandon Montour. The Devils carry significant momentum into this home matchup following a 5-2 victory over Minnesota, highlighted by multi-goal performances from Jesper Bratt and Ondrej Palat that snapped a recent skid.

Senators vs. Rangers

Rangers Moneyline

While advanced metrics like CF% favor Ottawa, the Senators are in a disadvantaged back-to-back spot with travel after a narrow win Tuesday and remain without starter Linus Ullmark. We are backing the Rangers at home as they look to snap a skid for Coach Mike Sullivan’s 500th win, banking on veteran Jonathan Quick to stabilize the crease despite the absences of Shesterkin and Fox.

LISTEN TO THIS EPISODE

Alex Mercer and Marcus break down a high-stakes evening slate, focusing on injury-driven market shifts for Philadelphia and Denver. Learn why the return of Embiid and George creates a major discrepancy and where to find value in the NHL's 'Dog of the Day.'

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