daily
Jan 26, 2026 · Episode 47
5-0 · +2.1u
Pacers, Magic & More
MORNING POSITIONS
Pacers vs. Hawks
TOP PICK
NBA
WIN
Hawks -4.5
Entry
54%
Volume
$288K
P&L
+0.46u
We are backing the Hawks as they capitalize on a Pacers defense that ranks last in interior protection and surrendered 74 points in the paint during their previous matchup. Atlanta enters with momentum from back-to-back wins fueled by Jalen Johnson’s near-triple-double form, while a depleted Indiana squad concludes a grueling five-game road trip without star Tyrese Haliburton.
Magic vs. Cavaliers
NBA
WIN
Cavaliers Moneyline
Entry
66%
Volume
$330K
P&L
+0.34u
We are backing the Cavaliers as they return home for this rematch following a 119-105 victory on Saturday where Donovan Mitchell dominated with 36 points to extend Cleveland's winning streak to three. Cleveland’s elite 59.2% eFG% and +9.4 Net Rating provide a significant edge over an Orlando squad missing star wing Franz Wagner and currently mired in a three-game losing streak with the league's 24th-ranked offensive rating.
Lakers vs. Bulls
NBA
WIN
Over 236.5
Entry
52%
Volume
$215K
P&L
+0.47u
We are targeting the over as Chicago’s league-leading 104.5 pace meets a Lakers offense featuring the 4th-ranked True Shooting Percentage and Luka Doncic's league-best 33.4 PPG. The Bulls' current five-game win streak has been defined by record-setting perimeter shooting and defensive lapses that see them allow 119.7 points per game, making this a prime spot for a high-scoring track meet.
Grizzlies vs. Rockets
SPEC
NBA
WIN
Grizzlies +10.5
Entry
51%
Volume
$150K
P&L
+0.49u
While the Rockets' metrics remain elite (#2 Defensive Efficiency, #1 Rebounding), a double-digit spread is an over-correction for a Memphis squad that has kept consecutive losses against the Pelicans and Hawks within a six-point margin. Despite the news that Ja Morant (elbow) will miss at least three weeks alongside starters Zach Edey and Santi Aldama, the Grizzlies' grit in high-possession games combined with Houston's own missing playmaking (VanVleet) makes taking the inflated points the value play.
Ducks vs. Oilers
SPEC
NHL
WIN
Oilers Moneyline
Entry
68%
Volume
$272K
P&L
+0.32u
Edmonton’s league-leading offensive metrics (56.4% CF%) are trending even higher following a dominant Saturday performance where Evan Bouchard and Connor McDavid combined for 11 points. We expect the Oilers to exploit an Anaheim defense that ranks 31st in xGA and is currently shorthanded without top scorer Leo Carlsson. Furthermore, the Ducks enter this matchup in a grueling fatigue spot, playing their second game in 24 hours after an overtime battle in Calgary last night.
EVENING UPDATE
Pacers vs. Hawks
TOP PICK
NBA
WIN
Hawks -4.5
Entry
54%
Volume
$288K
P&L
+0.46u
We are backing the Hawks as they capitalize on a Pacers defense that ranks last in interior protection and surrendered 74 points in the paint during their previous matchup. Atlanta enters with momentum from back-to-back wins fueled by Jalen Johnson’s near-triple-double form, while a depleted Indiana squad concludes a grueling five-game road trip without star Tyrese Haliburton.
Magic vs. Cavaliers
NBA
WIN
Cavaliers Moneyline
Entry
66%
Volume
$330K
P&L
+0.34u
We are backing the Cavaliers as they return home for this rematch following a 119-105 victory on Saturday where Donovan Mitchell dominated with 36 points to extend Cleveland's winning streak to three. Cleveland’s elite 59.2% eFG% and +9.4 Net Rating provide a significant edge over an Orlando squad missing star wing Franz Wagner and currently mired in a three-game losing streak with the league's 24th-ranked offensive rating.
Lakers vs. Bulls
NBA
WIN
Over 236.5
Entry
52%
Volume
$215K
P&L
+0.47u
We are targeting the over as Chicago’s league-leading 104.5 pace meets a Lakers offense featuring the 4th-ranked True Shooting Percentage and Luka Doncic's league-best 33.4 PPG. The Bulls' current five-game win streak has been defined by record-setting perimeter shooting and defensive lapses that see them allow 119.7 points per game, making this a prime spot for a high-scoring track meet.
Grizzlies vs. Rockets
SPEC
NBA
WIN
Grizzlies +10.5
Entry
51%
Volume
$150K
P&L
+0.49u
While the Rockets' metrics remain elite (#2 Defensive Efficiency, #1 Rebounding), a double-digit spread is an over-correction for a Memphis squad that has kept consecutive losses against the Pelicans and Hawks within a six-point margin. Despite the news that Ja Morant (elbow) will miss at least three weeks alongside starters Zach Edey and Santi Aldama, the Grizzlies' grit in high-possession games combined with Houston's own missing playmaking (VanVleet) makes taking the inflated points the value play.
Ducks vs. Oilers
SPEC
NHL
WIN
Oilers Moneyline
Entry
68%
Volume
$272K
P&L
+0.32u
Edmonton’s league-leading offensive metrics (56.4% CF%) are trending even higher following a dominant Saturday performance where Evan Bouchard and Connor McDavid combined for 11 points. We expect the Oilers to exploit an Anaheim defense that ranks 31st in xGA and is currently shorthanded without top scorer Leo Carlsson. Furthermore, the Ducks enter this matchup in a grueling fatigue spot, playing their second game in 24 hours after an overtime battle in Calgary last night.
LISTEN TO THIS EPISODE
Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb analyze shifting odds for tonight's NBA and NHL slate, including high-conviction plays on the Timberwolves and Oilers. Discover the sharpest bets moving the markets on Kalshi and Polymarket before tip-off.
Polymarket
NHL
Kalshi
NBA
Odds
Sports Betting
Prediction Markets
NFL