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daily Feb 08, 2026 · Episode 77 3-2 · +0.0u

Seattle, Knicks & More

MORNING POSITIONS

Seattle vs. New England

TOP PICK NFL WIN

Seahawks Team Total: Over 17.5

Seattle’s 9th-ranked Offensive Success Rate is peaking at the right time, powered by a historic 1,793-yard season from Jaxon Smith-Njigba and a turnover-free postseason run from Sam Darnold. This efficiency, coupled with New England’s 29th-ranked offensive EPA/Play and a defense currently hampered by injuries to key linebackers Robert Spillane and Harold Landry, ensures Seattle the field position and volume needed to comfortably exceed 17.5 points in this Super Bowl showdown.

Knicks vs. Celtics

Josh Hart Under 4.5 Assists

We are backing the Under as Hart is currently nursing an ankle sprain that limited him to just two assists in his last outing before an early exit. The combination of his compromised mobility and the Knicks' league-lowest pace—alongside high-usage stars Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns—creates a highly restricted environment for Hart’s playmaking volume.

Heat vs. Wizards

Alexandre Sarr Under 16.5 Points

We are targeting the Under as Sarr battles ankle soreness that sidelined him Saturday, further hampering a rookie who has already stayed below 16.5 points in four of his last five contests. With Miami’s elite interior defense led by a healthy Bam Adebayo and Sarr’s verified efficiency struggles (sub-40% eFG%), the path to a high-scoring output is heavily restricted in this matchup.

Clippers vs. Timberwolves

Timberwolves Moneyline

Minnesota's league-leading Adjusted Defensive Rating and 48.2% Opponent Effective FG% are primed to stifle a 'reloading' Clippers squad that just traded away James Harden and Ivica Zubac, with new stars Darius Garland and Bennedict Mathurin ruled out for today's matchup. We expect a high-intensity bounce-back from the Timberwolves following Rudy Gobert’s public call for accountability after a collapse against New Orleans, further bolstered by the defensive debut of trade-deadline acquisition Ayo Dosunmu.

Pacers vs. Raptors

We are backing the Pacers at +8.5 as their transition-heavy offense (pushing the pace to exploit Toronto's 0.42 EPA allowed per possession) matches up perfectly against a shorthanded Raptors backcourt. With Toronto guard Immanuel Quickley (ankle) and center Jakob Poeltl (back) both listed as questionable for tonight, the Pacers' backcourt—led by a surging Andrew Nembhard—is positioned to keep this close. Considering Toronto recently blew an 18-point lead to Minnesota, our data suggests Pascal Siakam’s return to Scotiabank Arena will provide the veteran spark needed to stay within the two-possession margin.

EVENING UPDATE

Seattle vs. New England

TOP PICK NFL WIN

Seahawks Team Total: Over 17.5

Seattle’s 9th-ranked Offensive Success Rate is peaking at the right time, powered by a historic 1,793-yard season from Jaxon Smith-Njigba and a turnover-free postseason run from Sam Darnold. This efficiency, coupled with New England’s 29th-ranked offensive EPA/Play and a defense currently hampered by injuries to key linebackers Robert Spillane and Harold Landry, ensures Seattle the field position and volume needed to comfortably exceed 17.5 points in this Super Bowl showdown.

Knicks vs. Celtics

Josh Hart Under 4.5 Assists

We are backing the Under as Hart is currently nursing an ankle sprain that limited him to just two assists in his last outing before an early exit. The combination of his compromised mobility and the Knicks' league-lowest pace—alongside high-usage stars Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns—creates a highly restricted environment for Hart’s playmaking volume.

Heat vs. Wizards

Alexandre Sarr Under 16.5 Points

We are targeting the Under as Sarr battles ankle soreness that sidelined him Saturday, further hampering a rookie who has already stayed below 16.5 points in four of his last five contests. With Miami’s elite interior defense led by a healthy Bam Adebayo and Sarr’s verified efficiency struggles (sub-40% eFG%), the path to a high-scoring output is heavily restricted in this matchup.

Clippers vs. Timberwolves

Timberwolves Moneyline

Minnesota's league-leading Adjusted Defensive Rating and 48.2% Opponent Effective FG% are primed to stifle a 'reloading' Clippers squad that just traded away James Harden and Ivica Zubac, with new stars Darius Garland and Bennedict Mathurin ruled out for today's matchup. We expect a high-intensity bounce-back from the Timberwolves following Rudy Gobert’s public call for accountability after a collapse against New Orleans, further bolstered by the defensive debut of trade-deadline acquisition Ayo Dosunmu.

Pacers vs. Raptors

We are backing the Pacers at +8.5 as their transition-heavy offense (pushing the pace to exploit Toronto's 0.42 EPA allowed per possession) matches up perfectly against a shorthanded Raptors backcourt. With Toronto guard Immanuel Quickley (ankle) and center Jakob Poeltl (back) both listed as questionable for tonight, the Pacers' backcourt—led by a surging Andrew Nembhard—is positioned to keep this close. Considering Toronto recently blew an 18-point lead to Minnesota, our data suggests Pascal Siakam’s return to Scotiabank Arena will provide the veteran spark needed to stay within the two-possession margin.

LISTEN TO THIS EPISODE

Join us for the ultimate Super Bowl LX preview as we track late-breaking sharp money moves for the Seahawks and Patriots. We break down the best NFL bets and odds available on Kalshi and Polymarket before the big game kicks off.

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