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daily Feb 13, 2026 · Episode 88 0-2 · -1.0u

Manhattan Jaspers & George Mason Patriots

MORNING POSITIONS

Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles
TOP PICK CBB LOSS
Niagara Purple Eagles -2.5
Entry 48%
Volume $18K
P&L -0.47u
Our selection of Niagara -2.5 is supported by a projected true line of -4.4 and a decisive shooting advantage, as the Purple Eagles' 52.8% eFG% faces a Manhattan defense currently allowing 54.1%. While Manhattan enters following a win over Sacred Heart, they have lost five consecutive road games and rank 336th nationally in defensive efficiency, making them vulnerable to a Niagara squad that shoots 39.8% from deep at home compared to just 30% on the road. With no new injuries reported for either side as of February 13, Niagara’s superior home-court shooting variance should overcome the Jaspers' inefficient high-volume scoring in this low-possession matchup.
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionaries
CBB LOSS
George Mason Patriots ML
Entry 49%
Volume $51K
P&L -0.49u
Our confidence in George Mason (21-4) is bolstered by the confirmed absence of George Washington’s star center Rafael Castro (15.9 PPG, 8.9 RPG), who has missed the last four games due to injury. While the Patriots are coming off a road loss to Richmond, they maintain a five-game head-to-head win streak over the Revolutionaries and boast the nation's 25th-ranked scoring defense (66.5 PA/G). This defensive elite already neutralized GW’s offense in a 69-64 victory earlier this season, and they should dominate a GW squad that has dropped six of its last eight contests.

EVENING UPDATE

Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles
TOP PICK CBB LOSS
Niagara Purple Eagles -2.5
Entry 48%
Volume $18K
P&L -0.47u
Our selection of Niagara -2.5 is supported by a projected true line of -4.4 and a decisive shooting advantage, as the Purple Eagles' 52.8% eFG% faces a Manhattan defense currently allowing 54.1%. While Manhattan enters following a win over Sacred Heart, they have lost five consecutive road games and rank 336th nationally in defensive efficiency, making them vulnerable to a Niagara squad that shoots 39.8% from deep at home compared to just 30% on the road. With no new injuries reported for either side as of February 13, Niagara’s superior home-court shooting variance should overcome the Jaspers' inefficient high-volume scoring in this low-possession matchup.
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionaries
CBB LOSS
George Mason Patriots ML
Entry 49%
Volume $51K
P&L -0.49u
Our confidence in George Mason (21-4) is bolstered by the confirmed absence of George Washington’s star center Rafael Castro (15.9 PPG, 8.9 RPG), who has missed the last four games due to injury. While the Patriots are coming off a road loss to Richmond, they maintain a five-game head-to-head win streak over the Revolutionaries and boast the nation's 25th-ranked scoring defense (66.5 PA/G). This defensive elite already neutralized GW’s offense in a 69-64 victory earlier this season, and they should dominate a GW squad that has dropped six of its last eight contests.

LISTEN TO THIS EPISODE

Alex and Marcus break down high-stakes pivots and the sharpest college basketball bets for Friday night. Discover why we're targeting new positions on Wisconsin and Boise State using real-time data from Kalshi and Polymarket.

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