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daily Feb 25, 2026 · Episode 112 4-0 · +1.9u

Spurs, Cavaliers & More

MORNING POSITIONS

Spurs vs. Raptors

TOP PICK NBA WIN

Spurs Moneyline

We are backing the Spurs to extend their nine-game winning streak as they face a Toronto squad on the second leg of a back-to-back with a severely depleted frontcourt. With Raptors center Jakob Poeltl ruled out and All-Star Scottie Barnes questionable after sustaining a quad bruise in yesterday’s loss to OKC, Toronto lacks the size to address their 28th-ranked paint defense against Victor Wembanyama. San Antonio’s league-leading defensive rebounding and recent +4.2 net rating suggest they will dominate the interior and capitalize on Toronto’s rest disadvantage.

Cavaliers vs. Bucks

Jarrett Allen Over 9.5 Rebounds

Allen has cleared this line in 8 of his 9 February starts, averaging 11.2 RPG over his last five games. With Giannis Antetokounmpo confirmed OUT for the Bucks and Evan Mobley still on a minutes restriction, Allen faces a Milwaukee frontcourt that has regressed to 27th in the NBA for total rebounding and is playing on no rest. This creates a significant mismatch for second-chance opportunities against a depleted interior defense.

Avalanche vs. Utah

We are backing the Over 5.5 as Colorado enters this matchup boasting the NHL’s #1 offense (3.84 G/GP), led by league-leading scorer Nathan MacKinnon (93 points). Utah has mirrored this production recently, scoring 20 goals in their last five games (4.0 G/GP), and both teams face potential defensive lapses as they return from the mid-season Olympic break. With Colorado defensive anchor Devon Toews sidelined and Utah’s transition game operating at peak volume, the current market line fails to account for the elite scoring form of both top-six units.

Oilers vs. Ducks

We expect an offensive explosion as the Oilers return from the Olympic break with the NHL’s top-ranked power play (31.4%) facing a Ducks defense that surrenders 3.48 goals per game (29th overall). This matchup mirrors their high-scoring 7-4 encounter in late January and Edmonton’s pre-break defensive volatility, having conceded 16 goals over their last three outings. With Leon Draisaitl (80 pts) confirmed and the Oilers entering a Pacific Division back-to-back, the 5.5 total remains a significant value floor for two units with elite transition talent and structural weaknesses.

EVENING UPDATE

Spurs vs. Raptors

TOP PICK NBA WIN

Spurs Moneyline

We are backing the Spurs to extend their nine-game winning streak as they face a Toronto squad on the second leg of a back-to-back with a severely depleted frontcourt. With Raptors center Jakob Poeltl ruled out and All-Star Scottie Barnes questionable after sustaining a quad bruise in yesterday’s loss to OKC, Toronto lacks the size to address their 28th-ranked paint defense against Victor Wembanyama. San Antonio’s league-leading defensive rebounding and recent +4.2 net rating suggest they will dominate the interior and capitalize on Toronto’s rest disadvantage.

Cavaliers vs. Bucks

Jarrett Allen Over 9.5 Rebounds

Allen has cleared this line in 8 of his 9 February starts, averaging 11.2 RPG over his last five games. With Giannis Antetokounmpo confirmed OUT for the Bucks and Evan Mobley still on a minutes restriction, Allen faces a Milwaukee frontcourt that has regressed to 27th in the NBA for total rebounding and is playing on no rest. This creates a significant mismatch for second-chance opportunities against a depleted interior defense.

Avalanche vs. Utah

We are backing the Over 5.5 as Colorado enters this matchup boasting the NHL’s #1 offense (3.84 G/GP), led by league-leading scorer Nathan MacKinnon (93 points). Utah has mirrored this production recently, scoring 20 goals in their last five games (4.0 G/GP), and both teams face potential defensive lapses as they return from the mid-season Olympic break. With Colorado defensive anchor Devon Toews sidelined and Utah’s transition game operating at peak volume, the current market line fails to account for the elite scoring form of both top-six units.

Oilers vs. Ducks

We expect an offensive explosion as the Oilers return from the Olympic break with the NHL’s top-ranked power play (31.4%) facing a Ducks defense that surrenders 3.48 goals per game (29th overall). This matchup mirrors their high-scoring 7-4 encounter in late January and Edmonton’s pre-break defensive volatility, having conceded 16 goals over their last three outings. With Leon Draisaitl (80 pts) confirmed and the Oilers entering a Pacific Division back-to-back, the 5.5 total remains a significant value floor for two units with elite transition talent and structural weaknesses.

LISTEN TO THIS EPISODE

Alex and Marcus break down the latest NBA and NHL odds, featuring a double-down on the Cavaliers and fading Jokić. Get the sharpest insights for your next bets on Polymarket and Kalshi.

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