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NHL SPEC 2026-01-05 · Evening Edition WIN

Red Wings vs. Senators

Red Wings vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 Over
42%
Entry Price
$211K
Volume
7:30 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.57u
P&L

ANALYSIS

We expect a high-octane affair as Detroit’s top line looks to answer Coach McLellan’s public challenge against an Ottawa squad missing star goalie Linus Ullmark. With both teams boasting top-6 power plays and an expected goals mean of 6.38 per 60 minutes, the combination of elite offensive form and bottom-tier goaltending makes this 5.5 total a clear value play.
Key Data
xGF Mean: 6.38/60min, Probability: 0.575, xGA: Bottom-tier

OUTCOME

Red Wings 4 - Senators 2
Poor rebound control by both goaltenders led to three power-play goals. A desperate Ottawa pull of the goalie in the final two minutes allowed Detroit to secure the empty-netter, pushing the total over the 5.5 line.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Evening Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-05 evening edition.