NBA
2026-01-05 · Morning Edition
LOSS
Hornets vs. Thunder
Thunder -16.5
ANALYSIS
We are fading the public sentiment on this massive spread by backing an Oklahoma City squad looking to bounce back at home (17-2 record) after a narrow loss in Phoenix just 24 hours ago. With Charlotte’s frontcourt decimated by injuries and unable to protect the rim against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s league-leading drives, we expect the Thunder’s NBA-best +14.7 scoring margin to result in a wire-to-wire blowout cover.
Key Data
Public Dog Volume: 52.5%, Market Efficiency: High-variance fade
OUTCOME
Hornets 124 - Thunder 97
OKC's length on the perimeter forced 15 Charlotte turnovers and held them to a dismal 34% field goal percentage. The Thunder capitalized with 52% shooting from three-point range, turning a double-digit lead into a 38-point rout by the end of the third quarter.
FULL BREAKDOWN
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-05 morning edition.