NBA
2026-01-06 · Evening Edition
WIN
Lakers vs. Pelicans
LeBron James: Points Over 22.5
ANALYSIS
With secondary scoring options Austin Reaves and Rui Hachimura both sidelined, we are targeting an increased offensive burden for LeBron James in a high-scoring environment. James has exceeded this line in back-to-back games (26 and 31 points) and faces a Pelicans defense that ranks 28th in the league, allowing 123.1 points per contest. Our projected volume is bolstered by both teams ranking in the 90th percentile for Neutral Zone Pace, ensuring a high-possession game for the Lakers' star.
Key Data
Neutral Zone Pace: 90th Percentile, Avg Sec/Poss: 13.2s, Projected Volume: 240.2
OUTCOME
Lakers 115 - Pelicans 110
With Anthony Davis drawing double-teams in the post, LeBron James found open lanes for downhill drives. He capitalized on three early fast-break layups and converted 4-of-7 from deep to finish with 28 points.
FULL BREAKDOWN
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-06 evening edition.