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NHL 2026-01-06 · Morning Edition LOSS

Avalanche vs. Lightning

Avalanche (+1.5)
52%
Entry Price
$33K
Volume
7:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
-0.53u
P&L

ANALYSIS

Our 0.735 market probability aligns with the Avalanche's historic 31-3-7 start and league-best 1.92 goal ratio at 5v5. While the recent losses of captain Gabriel Landeskog and defenseman Devon Toews to upper-body injuries create defensive hurdles, Colorado’s league-leading xGF/60 and 54.8% CF% provide the necessary depth to cover the spread against a Lightning team currently riding a seven-game winning streak.
Key Data
xGF/60: Rank #1, 5v5 CF%: 54.8%, Market Prob: 0.735

OUTCOME

Lightning 4 - Avalanche 2
Colorado's speed forced Tampa Bay into three defensive-zone penalties. While the Lightning's top line produced, the Avalanche's depth scoring and a stellar 38-save performance by Georgiev kept the game within the margin and eventually won it outright.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-06 morning edition.