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NHL SPEC 2026-01-07 · Evening Edition LOSS

Stars vs. Capitals

Over 5.5
58%
Entry Price
$125K
Volume
7:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
-0.58u
P&L

ANALYSIS

We are targeting the Over 5.5 as these Top 3 shooting offenses (12%+) collide following Washington's 7-4 victory and Dallas's 6-3 loss on Tuesday. With the Stars playing the second half of a back-to-back after pulling their starter and the Capitals’ offense finding a new gear behind Justin Sourdif’s five-point performance, both teams' elite Expected Goals For metrics should translate into another high-scoring shootout.
Key Data
Shooting %: 12%+, xGF/60: Top 10

OUTCOME

Dallas Stars 4 - Washington Capitals 1
Three power-play goals in the first two periods set a high scoring pace. Both teams struggled with defensive zone exits, leading to extended pressure and high-danger chances that beat the goaltenders from distance.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Evening Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-07 evening edition.