NHL
SPEC
2026-01-07 · Morning Edition
LOSS
Stars vs. Capitals
Over 5.5
ANALYSIS
We are targeting the Over 5.5 as these Top 3 shooting offenses (12%+) collide following Washington's 7-4 victory and Dallas's 6-3 loss on Tuesday. With the Stars playing the second half of a back-to-back after pulling their starter and the Capitals’ offense finding a new gear behind Justin Sourdif’s five-point performance, both teams' elite Expected Goals For metrics should translate into another high-scoring shootout.
Key Data
Shooting %: 12%+, xGF/60: Top 10
OUTCOME
Dallas Stars 4 - Washington Capitals 1
Three power-play goals in the first two periods set a high scoring pace. Both teams struggled with defensive zone exits, leading to extended pressure and high-danger chances that beat the goaltenders from distance.
FULL BREAKDOWN
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-07 morning edition.