CFB
TOP PICK
2026-01-08 · Evening Edition
WIN
Miami vs. Ole Miss
Miami Moneyline
ANALYSIS
Miami’s top-ranked Offensive EPA/Play and 0.342 EPA/Dropback advantage are now bolstered by the return of key cornerback OJ Frederique Jr., who was cleared for this CFP Semifinal after an injury scare. We are backing the Hurricanes' 54.2% success rate to exploit an Ole Miss program facing significant coaching instability and staff departures following Lane Kiffin’s exit to LSU. This defensive stability, which recently limited Ohio State to just 14 points, gives Miami the clear edge in this high-stakes matchup.
Key Data
Offensive EPA/Play: #1, Success Rate: 54.2%, EPA/Dropback Edge: +0.342
OUTCOME
Miami 27 - Ole Miss 24
Cam Ward converted three crucial third-and-longs in the fourth quarter with his legs. Miami's defensive line recorded four sacks, stalling Ole Miss's final drive and forcing a missed 48-yard field goal attempt.
FULL BREAKDOWN
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-08 evening edition.