Oregon vs. Indiana

We are backing the top-seeded Hoosiers as their elite metrics—ranking 2nd nationally in EPA per Dropback and 4th in Success Rate—are now led by Heisman-winning quarterback Fernando Mendoza, who enters this semifinal coming off a dominant three-touchdown performance in the Rose Bowl. While Indiana remains healthy and focused, Oregon faces a depleted backfield with star RB Jordon Davison (broken clavicle) ruled out and depth further thinned by the transfer portal, alongside the distraction of both coordinators accepting head coaching jobs elsewhere. Having already secured a 30-20 victory over the Ducks in October, Indiana’s balanced execution and superior health make them the clear choice to advance to the National Championship.