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NBA TOP PICK 2026-01-10 · Morning Edition LOSS

Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers

Over 29.5
50%
Entry Price
$402K
Volume
1:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
-0.49u
P&L

ANALYSIS

With a 74% market-implied probability and the league’s top offensive rating, Mitchell is positioned to exceed his 29.8 PPG average in this home-and-home finale against Minnesota. He enters today’s matchup having scored at least 30 points in four consecutive games, and with Max Strus and Dean Wade currently sidelined, Mitchell remains the clear focal point of an offense needing to avenge Thursday's high-scoring loss.
Key Data
Usage Rate: 30.9%, PPG: 29.8, CLE Offensive Rating: 121.7

OUTCOME

Cavaliers 110 - Timberwolves 102
Both teams played elite interior defense, holding each other under 45% shooting. The pace slowed drastically in the second half as referees allowed physical play, leading to fewer free-throw opportunities and a total of only 212 points.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-10 morning edition.