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NBA 2026-01-12 · Evening Edition WIN

Nets vs. Mavericks

Mavericks -3.5
52%
Entry Price
$218K
Volume
8:30 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.48u
P&L

ANALYSIS

Our projection maintains a +2.1 point quantitative edge for Dallas, fueled by their 3rd-ranked eFG% against a Nets defense that sits in the bottom quintile for Wide Open 3PT% allowed. This shooting advantage is critical tonight as Brooklyn is on the second leg of a road back-to-back and confirmed to be without top scorer Michael Porter Jr. (rest), while the Mavericks lean on rookie sensation Cooper Flagg (21.0 PPG) to exploit the Nets' league-worst rebounding unit.
Key Data
eFG%: 3rd, Dallas Spread Edge: +2.1

OUTCOME

Mavericks 113 - Nets 105
Dallas utilized the gravity of rookie Cooper Flagg (27 pts) to create open looks for shooters. The Nets attempted to play small to match Dallas's pace, but were dominated on the glass (48-38), allowing the Mavericks to secure critical second-chance points late in the fourth.

FULL BREAKDOWN

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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-12 evening edition.