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NBA TOP PICK 2026-01-14 · Morning Edition WIN

Raptors vs. Pacers

Pascal Siakam: Points Over 23.5
50%
Entry Price
$636K
Volume
7:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.50u
P&L

ANALYSIS

Siakam is the focal point of an Indiana offense missing star Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) and enters this contest on a high after hitting Monday’s game-winner against Boston. He faces a Toronto defense that is reeling after surrendering 80 first-half points to the 76ers and continues to rank 28th in opponent points in the paint. This matchup perfectly aligns with our data on Toronto’s 29th-ranked EPA against power forwards, allowing Siakam to leverage his elite 1.18 transition PPP to clear this total with ease.
Key Data
Points in Paint: 28th, Transition PPP: 1.18

OUTCOME

Raptors 115 - Pacers 101 (Siakam: 26 points)
Siakam was the focal point of the Pacers' offense against his former team, logging high usage and exploiting the Raptors' lack of interior size. Despite the loss, his aggressive scoring in the post allowed him to clear the 23.5 line by mid-fourth quarter.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-14 morning edition.