NBA
2026-01-15 · Evening Edition
WIN
Thunder vs. Rockets
Thunder -4.5
ANALYSIS
While the Rockets rank third in scoring defense and lead the league in rebounding, they must contend with a Thunder squad that ranks first in points allowed (108.1) and is riding a four-game winning streak. We are backing the superior efficiency of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has extended his historic 20-point scoring streak to 111 games, against a Houston rotation missing key defensive pieces like Tari Eason and Dorian Finney-Smith. Despite the return of Alperen Sengun, the Thunder’s elite transition pressure is expected to outpace a Rockets unit still adjusting to the long-term absence of Fred VanVleet.
Key Data
Opponent EPA/Play: 1st, Half-court Defensive Success: 51.5%
OUTCOME
Thunder 111 - Rockets 91
Oklahoma City's 34-16 fourth-quarter surge proved their superiority in late-game execution. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren combined for 38 points, while Houston's poor shooting (7-24 from 3PT) allowed OKC to pull away easily.
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-15 evening edition.