← Back to picks
Basketball SPEC 2026-01-16 · Evening Edition WIN

Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyers

Dayton Flyers Moneyline
94%
Entry Price
$39K
Volume
8:30 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.06u
P&L

ANALYSIS

We are backing the Flyers based on a massive efficiency discrepancy (+22.4 AdjEM) and their perfect 4-0 start to A-10 play, supported by a dominant 9-1 home record. While both teams are managing injuries, Dayton’s top-15 national ranking in steals per game provides a significant defensive edge over a shorthanded Loyola Chicago squad currently mired in a four-game losing streak. This combination of roster quality and relentless defensive pressure makes the Flyers a high-probability anchor for the slate.
Key Data
Adj Efficiency Margin: +22.4, Win Probability: 94.5%

OUTCOME

Dayton 78 - Loyola Chicago 51
Dayton's interior height was too much for Loyola's small-ball lineup. The Flyers dominated the glass (+14 rebound margin) and generated high-percentage looks at the rim. Loyola's offense became one-dimensional as they were forced to settle for contested threes, leading to a blowout victory for Dayton.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Evening Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-16 evening edition.