Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangs

While the market anticipates a high-paced shootout based on season averages, our 4.2-point variance favors the Under, anchored by a series history where both 2025 meetings failed to clear 115 total points. Virginia’s defense remains elite, recently holding a ranked Louisville squad to 70 points and recording a 14-0 opening run, while offensive rhythm remains a concern as top shooter Jacari White works back from a broken wrist. With SMU’s leading scorer Boopie Miller also recovering from a lingering illness, this high-intensity ACC clash at Moody Coliseum is primed to be a defensive grind that stays well below the 154.5-point threshold.