Penguins vs. Flames

Our data's projected 14% drop in xGF/60 is reinforced by a depleted Pittsburgh blue line missing Erik Karlsson (IR) and potentially Kris Letang (day-to-day), coupled with a Calgary offense averaging just 2.4 goals over their last 10 games. Following the Flames' recent trade of top defenseman Rasmus Andersson and the absence of leading scorer Blake Coleman, this matchup mirrors the 2-1 defensive struggle seen in their January 10 meeting, making the under 6.5 a high-probability play.