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NBA 2026-01-22 · Evening Edition WIN

Bulls vs. Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards Under 32.5 Points
46%
Entry Price
$124K
Volume
8:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.54u
P&L

ANALYSIS

While Edwards has been incandescent lately, exploding for a combined 93 points over his last two games, we expect a natural regression toward his 29.9 PPG season average tonight against Chicago. As Minnesota looks to snap a season-long three-game losing streak with a fully healthy rotation including Rudy Gobert, a more balanced offensive distribution supports the 70.5% statistical probability of staying under this inflated 32.5-point ceiling.
Key Data
Defensive Rating: Rank 1, Team Pace: Rank 24, Implied Probability: 70.5%

OUTCOME

Bulls 120 - Timberwolves 115
Edwards picked up two fouls in the first four minutes, forcing him to the bench. He never regained his scoring rhythm, finishing with 20 points. Julius Randle took over the primary scoring duties (30 points), confirming the thesis that the line was set too high for Edwards' current role.

FULL BREAKDOWN

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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-22 evening edition.