NBA
TOP PICK
2026-01-22 · Morning Edition
LOSS
Nuggets vs. Wizards
Jonas Valančiūnas Under 12.5 Points
ANALYSIS
We are backing the Under as Valančiūnas is returning from a 21-day absence due to a calf strain and is expected to be on a restricted workload in his first game back. Although the Nuggets are thin at center with Nikola Jokić sidelined, Valančiūnas has averaged just 8.5 points per game this season and faces a Washington interior anchored by Alex Sarr, who has significantly improved the team's ability to limit efficient touches in the paint.
Key Data
Denver Interior Defense: 0.88 PPP allowed, Denver Defensive Efficiency: Rank 4
OUTCOME
Nuggets 107 - Wizards 97
Expected a slow ramp-up for Valanciunas, but his physical presence against a small Washington frontcourt led to 16 points in just 22 minutes. He was highly efficient around the rim, rendering the Under thesis moot by the third quarter.
FULL BREAKDOWN
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-22 morning edition.