← Back to picks
NBA SPEC 2026-01-27 · Evening Edition WIN

Pistons vs. Nuggets

Under 24.5 Points
52%
Entry Price
$311K
Volume
9:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.47u
P&L

ANALYSIS

We are fading Cunningham's scoring output due to Denver’s elite interior defense, which ranks 5th in opponent effective FG% at the rim and historically drops his success rate by 14%. While he recorded 29 points in his last outing, Cunningham stayed under this 24.5 line in his four previous games and recently admitted he is still "flinching" on his jump shot due to a lingering wrist injury. We expect Denver’s length to exploit these mechanical inconsistencies and force a regression toward his recent injury-impacted scoring slump.
Key Data
Opponent Rim EFG%: Rank 5th; Success Rate Delta: -14% vs Top-10 Defense

OUTCOME

Pistons 109 - Nuggets 107
Cunningham deferred scoring to Tobias Harris (22 pts) in a tight game. Denver's defense swarmed Cade in the pick-and-roll, forcing him to find teammates, which kept his individual total under the line.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Evening Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-27 evening edition.