NBA
2026-01-27 · Morning Edition
WIN
Kings vs. Knicks
Under 11.5 Rebounds
ANALYSIS
Our data models show a 60.5% probability for the Under, as the Kings rank in the 98th percentile in Defensive Rebounding Rate. This outlook is supported by Towns’ recent form, recording just 6 and 8 rebounds over his last two games while managing back spasms, and a previous meeting this month where Sacramento held him to a season-low 4 boards. Furthermore, the return of Mitchell Robinson to the rotation is expected to further suppress Towns' rebounding ceiling in this matchup.
Key Data
60.5% Probability; Kings Def Rebounding: 98th Percentile
OUTCOME
Knicks 103 - Kings 87
The game was defined by poor shooting (Sacramento 16% from 3), which typically leads to more rebounds, but the slow pace and Knicks' half-court control limited the total number of possessions. KAT stayed just under the line at 11.
FULL BREAKDOWN
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-27 morning edition.