NBA
2026-01-28 · Morning Edition
WIN
Magic vs. Heat
Pelle Larsson Under 3.5 Assists
ANALYSIS
Larsson has stayed under this 3.5 assist threshold in his two most recent games as he settles into a low-usage 'connector' role despite Miami's depleted backcourt. While he remains a starter with Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier sidelined, our data shows he holds one of the team's lowest usage rates, as offensive sets prioritize Bam Adebayo as the primary playmaking hub in the interior.
Key Data
Assist-to-Usage ratio is in the bottom quartile for active guards; Heat offensive sets prioritize high-low actions that limit secondary perimeter playmaking.
OUTCOME
Magic 133 - Heat 124
Miami's offense ran through Bam Adebayo (7 assists), limiting Larsson's playmaking duties to basic floor spacing. His lack of primary ball-handling responsibility made the 'Under' the clear play.
FULL BREAKDOWN
Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-28 morning edition.