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NBA 2026-01-30 · Morning Edition WIN

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Kawhi Leonard: Points Under 22.5
48%
Entry Price
$575K
Volume
9:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.52u
P&L

ANALYSIS

Denver continues to lead the league in defensive EFG% against mid-range attempts, a critical factor given that 44% of Leonard's scoring profile comes from that zone. This statistical ceiling is further suppressed by recent developments, as Leonard is currently questionable with a knee contusion and coming off a 21-point outing where the Clippers' league-slowest pace significantly limited his volume.
Key Data
Nuggets Mid-Range Def EFG%: Rank 1st, Mid-Range Shot Profile: 44%, Implied Probability: 74.5%

OUTCOME

Nuggets 109 - Clippers 102
Kawhi struggled to find rhythm in the mid-range, finishing with 21 points on 42% shooting. Denver's defensive rotations successfully forced him into difficult contested jumpers, and the slower pace of the game capped his opportunities.

FULL BREAKDOWN

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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-01-30 morning edition.