Lakers vs. Wizards

We are targeting the Under as Reaves is listed as questionable to return tonight after a 17-game absence with a calf strain, making a significant minutes restriction highly probable in his first action since December. His return coincides with a matchup against a Wizards defense ranking in the Top 10 for contested shot rate, a length-driven profile that historically triggers a 12% drop in Reaves' offensive success. Given the month-long layoff and the high defensive volume he will face on the perimeter, we expect his scoring output to be limited.