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NHL SPEC 2026-02-03 · Morning Edition LOSS

Maple Leafs vs. Oilers

Oilers Moneyline
64%
Entry Price
$43K
Volume
8:30 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
-0.64u
P&L

ANALYSIS

Our 63.5% quantitative edge is reinforced by Edmonton’s elite offensive form, as Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl enter this matchup having combined for 21 points over their last four games. The Oilers' top-ranked power play (32.6%) is poised to exploit a Toronto defense missing its top blueliner, Morgan Rielly, who was ruled out through the Olympic break with an upper-body injury. While the Maple Leafs have won two straight, their defensive inconsistencies and Edmonton's home-ice urgency before the hiatus make the Oilers a primary play.
Key Data
Oilers rank 1st in NHL in Offensive Zone Start % and 3rd in xGF/60; Maple Leafs are regressing in Save Percentage (SV%).

OUTCOME

Edmonton Oilers 2 - Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Graded from ESPN final score

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-02-03 morning edition.