NBA
2026-02-06 · Evening Edition
LOSS
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves
Julius Randle: Under 21.5 Points
ANALYSIS
Our projection for a low-possession script is reinforced by Randle currently managing left thumb soreness, an injury that likely contributed to his sub-40% shooting and scoring outputs of 17 and 19 points earlier this week. With Anthony Edwards operating at a massive 30.6% usage rate recently and All-NBA defender Herbert Jones back in the lineup for New Orleans, Randle faces both internal usage competition and a difficult individual matchup that caps his scoring ceiling.
Key Data
Minnesota ranks 28th in Pace. Randle’s points-per-possession (PPP) metrics against Top 10 defenses suggest a ceiling of 18.2.
OUTCOME
New Orleans Pelicans 119 - Minnesota Timberwolves 115
Julius Randle recorded 24 points in the game on February 06, 2026. This exceeds the prop line of 21.5 points, resulting in a loss for the Under selection.
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-02-06 evening edition.