Pacers vs. Raptors

We are backing the Pacers at +8.5 as their transition-heavy offense (pushing the pace to exploit Toronto's 0.42 EPA allowed per possession) matches up perfectly against a shorthanded Raptors backcourt. With Toronto guard Immanuel Quickley (ankle) and center Jakob Poeltl (back) both listed as questionable for tonight, the Pacers' backcourt—led by a surging Andrew Nembhard—is positioned to keep this close. Considering Toronto recently blew an 18-point lead to Minnesota, our data suggests Pascal Siakam’s return to Scotiabank Arena will provide the veteran spark needed to stay within the two-possession margin.