Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles

Our selection of Niagara -2.5 is supported by a projected true line of -4.4 and a decisive shooting advantage, as the Purple Eagles' 52.8% eFG% faces a Manhattan defense currently allowing 54.1%. While Manhattan enters following a win over Sacred Heart, they have lost five consecutive road games and rank 336th nationally in defensive efficiency, making them vulnerable to a Niagara squad that shoots 39.8% from deep at home compared to just 30% on the road. With no new injuries reported for either side as of February 13, Niagara’s superior home-court shooting variance should overcome the Jaspers' inefficient high-volume scoring in this low-possession matchup.