Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclones

We are backing Iowa State as our model identifies a significant home-court advantage at Hilton Coliseum, where the Cyclones remain a perfect 13-0 this season. While Kansas enters on an eight-game win streak including a victory over No. 1 Arizona, they are managing a thin rotation with star freshman Darryn Peterson returning from illness and Elmarko Jackson hampered by a knee injury. We expect Iowa State’s elite turnover-inducing defense (24.5% TO rate) to overwhelm a Jayhawks squad that has been vulnerable in true road environments (4-3 road record).