CBB
SPEC
2026-02-15 · Morning Edition
LOSS
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
Purdue Fort Wayne -6.5
ANALYSIS
Our mathematical model correlates Purdue Fort Wayne’s moneyline to a spread of -8.5 or higher, making this -6.5 line a high-value play on Senior Day at Memorial Coliseum. We are capitalizing on IU Indy’s significant schedule disadvantage—playing their third game in six days—and their defensive struggles, which rank near the bottom of the NCAA at 88.3 points allowed per game. Furthermore, the Jaguars are missing Reece Hagy due to injury and face a Mastodons team that has won three straight in the series and maintains a dominant 10-3 home record this season.
Key Data
ML 0.76 implies spread -8.5; getting -6.5 at 0.51 price point.
OUTCOME
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 83 - IU Indianapolis Jaguars 78
Graded from ESPN final score
FULL BREAKDOWN
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-02-15 morning edition.