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CBB SPEC 2026-02-16 · Evening Edition WIN

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders

Stephen F. Austin -5.5
30%
Entry Price
$11K
Volume
8:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.70u
P&L

ANALYSIS

Our -5.5 selection capitalizes on a 30%+ market decoupling where the 0.715 moneyline typically warrants a spread near -6.5, offering elite value on a Stephen F. Austin team currently on an 11-game win streak. The Lumberjacks feature the nation's #13 scoring defense and a red-hot Keon Thompson, who dropped 32 points just 48 hours ago, posing a significant mismatch for an Islanders squad that is just 3-6 against winning opponents this season.
Key Data
Moneyline 0.715 vs Spread Price 0.305; Historical cover rate at -5.5 for 0.70+ favorites is 52.4%.

OUTCOME

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 78 - Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 68
Graded from ESPN final score

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Evening Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-02-16 evening edition.