NBA
2026-02-20 · Morning Edition
WIN
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
Over 232.5
ANALYSIS
Minnesota’s offensive rating has surged to a lethal 120.3 over their last five matches, a trend we expect to continue against a Mavericks defense allowing 117.4 PPG and missing key rim protection with Dereck Lively II and Cooper Flagg sidelined. With the Timberwolves operating at the NBA's second-fastest recent pace and clearing 130 points in consecutive home wins, our projected 106.5 field goal attempts are heavily supported by a market total that has already climbed to 237.5.
Key Data
Wolves 122.4 OffRTG last 3 games; Proj total 240.2 vs line 232.5; Mavericks 54% Over rate vs Western Conference.
OUTCOME
Dallas Mavericks 111 - Minnesota Timberwolves 122
Graded from ESPN final score
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-02-20 morning edition.