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NBA SPEC 2026-02-23 · Morning Edition LOSS

Kings vs. Grizzlies

Malik Monk Over 11.5 Points
50%
Entry Price
$517K
Volume
8:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
-0.51u
P&L

ANALYSIS

We are exploiting an 11.5-point line that serves as a floor for Monk, particularly as the market’s 44% implied probability overlooks his historical efficiency in high-total games. With season-ending surgeries for Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine officially shifting the Kings' offensive usage toward him, Monk’s 19-point performance on Feb 21 confirms he is the primary engine in a matchup featuring a massive 233.5 projected point total.
Key Data
0.44 market probability; player averages 15+ PPG in games where the total is >230.

OUTCOME

Kings 123 - Grizzlies 114
Malik Monk scored 10 points in the game against the Memphis Grizzlies on February 23, 2026. Since 10 points is less than the prop line of 11.5, the selection is a loss.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-02-23 morning edition.