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NBA 2026-02-28 · Evening Edition LOSS

Rockets vs. Heat

Over 223.5
54%
Entry Price
$676K
Volume
3:30 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
-0.54u
P&L

ANALYSIS

We are targeting the Over 223.5 as the market has yet to adjust to a Rockets offense averaging 122 points over their last three wins, powered by Kevin Durant and a breakout 24.0 PPG stretch from rookie Reed Sheppard. While Miami is missing leading scorer Norman Powell, our analysis shows their last three contests have averaged a massive 247.3 total points, and with Houston's Jabari Smith Jr. sidelined, both teams face significant defensive personnel shortages that favor a high-scoring environment.
Key Data
Market volume $675,900; Over 223.5 prob 0.54; Over 224.5 prob 0.52.

OUTCOME

Graded from ESPN final score

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Evening Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-02-28 evening edition.