NBA
2026-02-28 · Evening Edition
LOSS
Rockets vs. Heat
Over 223.5
ANALYSIS
We are targeting the Over 223.5 as the market has yet to adjust to a Rockets offense averaging 122 points over their last three wins, powered by Kevin Durant and a breakout 24.0 PPG stretch from rookie Reed Sheppard. While Miami is missing leading scorer Norman Powell, our analysis shows their last three contests have averaged a massive 247.3 total points, and with Houston's Jabari Smith Jr. sidelined, both teams face significant defensive personnel shortages that favor a high-scoring environment.
Key Data
Market volume $675,900; Over 223.5 prob 0.54; Over 224.5 prob 0.52.
OUTCOME
Graded from ESPN final score
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-02-28 evening edition.