← Back to picks
NBA 2026-03-01 · Morning Edition LOSS

Bucks vs. Bulls

Game Total Over 227.5
54%
Entry Price
$377K
Volume
3:30 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
-0.54u
P&L

ANALYSIS

Our pace-correlation model’s focus on Chicago’s league-high tempo (104.2) is reinforced by a total absence of defensive resistance, as the Bulls enter today missing frontcourt anchors Jalen Smith and Patrick Williams. Milwaukee’s top-10 offensive efficiency remains potent despite Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) being ruled out for a 15th straight game, specifically following a 139-point outburst against New Orleans and a previous 131-115 track meet with Chicago on Feb 3. With the Bucks allowing 120.0 PPG over their last five and the Bulls yielding 121 in their most recent home loss, this matchup favors another high-liquidity over.
Key Data
Combined avg score 231.5 in last 3 meetings; project total 234.1 vs 227.5 line.

OUTCOME

Milwaukee Bucks 97 - Chicago Bulls 120
Graded from ESPN final score

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-03-01 morning edition.