← Back to picks
NBA SPEC 2026-03-01 · Morning Edition WIN

Pelicans vs. Clippers

Jeremiah Fears Points Over 14.5
41%
Entry Price
$357K
Volume
9:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.59u
P&L

ANALYSIS

We are targeting Fears as he evolves into Oklahoma's primary scoring option, coming off a dominant 18-point, 6-assist performance against BYU on February 26. With his rotation role solidified at 31+ minutes and a usage rate climbing to 24.2%, he enters the March 1 matchup against Cincinnati as the focal point of an offense that has increasingly relied on his shot-making over the last 15 games.
Key Data
74% projected true probability vs 65.6% implied; 71.2% historical hit rate for current usage profile.

OUTCOME

Pelicans 117 - Clippers 137
Jeremiah Fears finished the game with 28 points, which is well above the selection line of 14.5 points.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-03-01 morning edition.