NBA
2026-03-02 · Evening Edition
LOSS
Nuggets vs. Jazz
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds Over 12.5
ANALYSIS
Our pick is supported by Jokić leading the NBA with 12.6 rebounds per game and averaging 14.2 boards over his last five contests, including 13 in yesterday's matchup against Minnesota. He faces a Utah frontcourt decimated by season-ending injuries to Walker Kessler and Jusuf Nurkić, leaving the league's 30th-ranked scoring defense reliant on rookie Kyle Filipowski to anchor the interior. Given Denver is on the second night of a back-to-back and missing key rotation pieces like Aaron Gordon, we expect Jokić to maintain high usage and dominate a Jazz team currently on a five-game losing streak.
Key Data
Jazz TRB rate 47.1% (30th); Nikola Jokić projected for 14.1 rebounds; Market price implies 56% probability.
OUTCOME
Nuggets 128 - Jazz 125
In the game played on March 2, 2026, Nikola Jokić recorded 12 rebounds. Since the prop line was set at Over 12.5, the result is a LOSS because 12 is less than the required 12.5.
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-03-02 evening edition.