Senators vs. Flames

Our 6.24-goal projection is reinforced by Calgary’s recent defensive struggles, as the Flames have surrendered 4.0 goals per game over their last four outings, including a 6-1 loss on Tuesday. Ottawa enters following a high-scoring 5-4 overtime shootout against Edmonton, fueled by Tim Stützle’s active 10-game, 14-point streak and a 32.4 shot-per-game average. Both squads combined for 16 total goals in their respective games on March 3rd, validating the high-danger offensive volume that supports this Over.