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NBA TOP PICK 2026-03-06 · Morning Edition WIN

Heat vs. Hornets

Kon Knueppel Points Over 18.5
50%
Entry Price
$530K
Volume
7:10 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.50u
P&L

ANALYSIS

We are backing Knueppel’s scoring surge as he has averaged 21.0 points over his last eight contests and just posted 20 points against Boston on Wednesday. His elite perimeter volume—having recently become the first player this season to hit 200 threes—faces a depleted Miami rotation missing key players like Norman Powell and Terry Rozier. With Knueppel solidified in a 30+ minute role during Charlotte's playoff push, his current momentum and off-ball gravity make this 18.5 line a prime target.
Key Data
21.2 PPG over the last 4 games; 38 minutes per game average in recent stretch.

OUTCOME

Heat 128 - Hornets 120
Kon Knueppel scored 27 points in the Hornets' loss to the Miami Heat on March 6, 2026. His 27-point performance successfully cleared the prop line of 18.5 points.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-03-06 morning edition.