NHL
SPEC
2026-03-10 · Evening Edition
WIN
Blue Jackets vs. Lightning
Over 5.5 Goals
ANALYSIS
Our play on the Over leverages Columbus’ defensive struggles and a severe rest disadvantage, as the Blue Jackets enter the second half of a back-to-back after surrendering five goals in last night’s overtime loss to the Kings. Tampa Bay’s high-octane offense—led by Nikita Kucherov, who is coming off a two-goal performance in an 8-7 shootout against Buffalo—is perfectly positioned to exploit a Columbus unit ranking 29th in xGA and bottom-10 in penalty killing, especially given the Lightning's 24.2% power play efficiency and the 13 goals produced in their last head-to-head meeting.
Key Data
Columbus allows 3.6 goals per road game; CBJ xGA/60 is 3.82 vs TBL xGF/60 of 3.45.
OUTCOME
Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Graded from ESPN final score
FULL BREAKDOWN
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Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-03-10 evening edition.