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NBA SPEC 2026-03-10 · Morning Edition WIN

Celtics vs. Spurs

Victor Wembanyama Over 10.5 Rebounds
46%
Entry Price
$366K
Volume
8:00 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.53u
P&L

ANALYSIS

Wembanyama enters this matchup as the reigning Western Conference Player of the Week, averaging 11.4 rebounds per game since the All-Star break. He faces a Boston frontcourt severely depleted by the loss of Nikola Vucevic (out following March 7 finger surgery) and the offseason departures of former anchors like Al Horford and Kristaps Porzingis. With the Celtics continuing to rely on high-volume perimeter shooting (3rd in NBA in 3PM) and Jayson Tatum still on a minutes restriction, Wembanyama’s 11.1 RPG season average and recent 16-rebound peak against Detroit make this 10.5 line a high-floor opportunity.
Key Data
Averaging 11.2 rebounds vs top-5 pace teams; Model predicts 12.2 rebounds.

OUTCOME

Celtics 116 - Spurs 125
On March 10, 2026, Victor Wembanyama recorded 11 rebounds in the Spurs' victory over the Celtics. Since 11 rebounds is greater than the prop line of 10.5, the bet is a winner.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-03-10 morning edition.