NBA
2026-03-11 · Evening Edition
LOSS
Raptors vs. Pelicans
Zion Williamson Over 22.5 Points
ANALYSIS
Zion enters this matchup following a efficient 20-point performance in just 23 minutes against Washington on March 8, maintaining a high floor as the Pelicans' primary interior force. He faces a Raptors squad on the second leg of a back-to-back that currently ranks 4th-worst in the NBA for points allowed in the paint (53.3 per game). With Toronto’s primary rim protector Jakob Poeltl currently questionable due to illness, Zion is positioned to exploit a fatigued interior defense and exceed his 22.5-point line.
Key Data
Projected 24.1 points vs 22.5 line; Market price 0.29 vs Fair probability 0.55
OUTCOME
New Orleans Pelicans 122 - Toronto Raptors 111
Zion Williamson finished the game on March 11, 2026, with 19 points, which is under the line of 22.5. He shot 7-of-12 from the field and 5-of-8 from the free-throw line.
FULL BREAKDOWN
Listen to the Evening Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-03-11 evening edition.