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NBA TOP PICK 2026-03-11 · Morning Edition WIN

Cavaliers vs. Magic

Donovan Mitchell Under 26.5 Points
70%
Entry Price
$428K
Volume
7:30 PM ET
Game Time (ET)
+0.30u
P&L

ANALYSIS

We are targeting the Under as Orlando’s elite perimeter defense and Jalen Suggs’ point-of-attack pressure present a significant hurdle, especially with Mitchell coming off a 17-point performance on March 9 where he deferred heavily to new backcourt partner James Harden. Our outlook is suppressed by Mitchell's recent return from a four-game groin injury absence and the shift in Cleveland's offensive hierarchy, which has lowered his shot floor against a Magic unit currently on a four-game winning streak.
Key Data
Projected 23.9 points; Mitchell has stayed Under 26.5 in 55% of matchups vs top-10 defenses.

OUTCOME

Cleveland Cavaliers 122 - Orlando Magic 128
Donovan Mitchell scored 25 points in the game on March 11, 2026. Since his point total of 25 is below the line of 26.5, the 'Under' selection is a win.

FULL BREAKDOWN

Listen to the Morning Episode →
Full analysis and discussion of this pick in the 2026-03-11 morning edition.