Pelicans vs. Rockets

Our model's 22.4-point projection for Zion is bolstered by his current form, averaging 21.0 PPG on 71% shooting over his last five games. He faces a Houston defense that has conceded an average of 137 points over its last two contests and may be without interior anchor Alperen Sengun, who is questionable with back pain. This 20.5 line sits well below Zion’s 21.9 career average against the Rockets, representing a clear market undervaluation.