Warriors vs. Celtics

We are identifying a significant player usage regression trap. While the market has inflated this line following a five-game outlier stretch where Santos cleared 15 points, model projections suggest a regression toward his 6.6 PPG season average. Facing a Celtics defense ranked 1st in the NBA (107.1 PPG allowed), Santos will see reduced volume as Kristaps Porzingis—fresh off a 30-point performance on Monday—and De’Anthony Melton command the primary usage in a shorthanded Warriors offense.